Forex Market Outlook 11/4/11

Today is “jobs Friday” as we are awaiting the Non-Farm Payrolls report which is expected to show that the economy added 100K jobs, 125K in the private sector and the unemployment rate to remain steady at 9.1%.  These are hardly attractive numbers, yet anything remotely close to these will be seen as positive by the markets. 

What might be a decent prognostication of our jobs figures is the Canadian employment report that came out earlier this morning.  Canada produced dismal numbers, showing that they lost 54K jobs when they were expected to have added 15K, and the unemployment rate moved higher to 7.3% vs. an exp

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Forex – Leaning Tower of Italy (FXA)

Leaning Tower of Italy

 

While what is happening in the Euro Zone periphery is no laughing matter for those living there and most vulnerable , I can’t help but feel that the crisis is much of their own doing and the crisis response from the EU leadership and ECB remains woefully inadequate. Yet the latest drama from the Euro Zone leadership is nothing short of fodder for the Daily Show – or as one FXA CHAT room member said, the basis for a new reality TV show in the US…The Real Prime Ministers of the Euro Zone. Quotin

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Cross Currency Forex Technical Analysis

The major Forex pairs often move in harmony with each other as we all know. GBP/USD may be moving higher while USD/CHF moves lower. This is obviously related to the dollar as the common denominator in this particular scenario. Currency correlations can be very useful when conducting our analysis.

Do you keep track of these relationships when you trade? If you don’t then maybe you should. Why not start by looking at the dollar index. Today gave an excellent example of how cross currency analysis can be used when trading the Forex. T

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Forex: Euro Weakness To Accelerate On Increased Skepticism

Euro: Fitch Sees Greek Default, ECB Rate Decision On Tap

The Euro slipped to a low of 1.4133 as Fitch Ratings said a 50% haircut on Greek debt would be considered a ‘default event,’ and the single-currency may continue trade heavy in the week ahead as investor confidence remains frail. Meanwhile, China’s Vice-Finance Minister, Zhu Guangyao, said the government is interested in hearing the details of the new accord, and went onto say that they will wait for more information ‘before making a decision on investment’ following reports that the world’s second-largest economy may contribute EUR 100B to assist the region.

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GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

  • Technical Analysis
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  • GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

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  • 05 October 2011 11:18 AM GMT

By: Doug Rosen

Well, it looks like this pair finally made the double bottom I was expecting at 1.5350 area then spiked back up and touched the daily 5 ema. At this point I will watch this pair very carefully to see what happens next. Will it fall back down and touch the 1.5350 yet again then go back up or will it break the 1.5350 level and keep on falling or will it just reverse fib from where it is now and keep on going?

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