LCH Clearnet Causes a Riot in the Bond Market

Again it has been all about Italy starting the beginning of the week, a little bit about what is going on in Greece with the search of a new Prime Minister, who is going to be in place for perhaps a hundred days before the get a new government that would be put in place. Everyone is focusing on what’s going on in Italy.

When the bond market opened last night, we had yields just blowing up. They traded for about 6.78%, which is pretty much the highest level since they’ve been in the Euro since 1999. The pushed right up to about 7.48%, about 5.50% spread versus bonds. This was caused by a few factors, one of which is LCH Clearnet, one of the biggest clearers in Europe putting up initial margins from 6.6% up to about 11.6%. Thi

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Are bargains available at Woolworths?

On Wednesday November 2 Woolworths held a strategy briefing for professional investors. Woolworth’s effectively asked us to adopt a longer time frame before judging its performance and revealed four strategic priorities that I will describe in a moment.

Prior to the strategy day, the company updated the stock market with a growth outlook that was the lowest in a decade. T

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EURUSD Daily Forecast: November 18

EURUSD Forecast The EURUSD was volatile but indecisive yesterday. Price attempted to push higher, topped at 1.3539 but closed lower at 1.3453 and bounced higher again earlier today in Asian session hit 1.3503.  There are no changes in my technical outlook. As long as price stays below 1.3590 I still prefer to short on rallies. Price has been moving sideways since the breakdown below 1.3590 but it should be a normal consolidation. Immediate support which is also the nearest bearish target remains around 1.3350 followed by 1.3145.

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Daily Chart Art – November 11, 2011

USD/JPY: 4-hour

Better strap on your trading seatbelts, playas, because USD/JPY is about to hit a key level! The pair has been slowly approaching the 77.50 handle, and it looks like this could be a prime spot to catch a retracement. If the 50% Fib level holds and the pair pops up, the rally might not stop until it reaches 78.00. On the other hand, if you’re expecting yen bulls to break through this level, look for price to keep falling at least until it hits 77.00.

GBP/JPY: 4-hour

Are you in the mood to play a long-term trend line?

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Asian Market Update: Cautious markets ahead of the weekend; Korea and Peru hold interest rates

***Economic Data***

– (KS) BANK OF KOREA (BOK) LEAVES 7-DAY REPO RATE UNCHANGED 3.25%; AS EXPECTED
– (JP) JAPAN SEPT TERTIARY INDUSTRY INDEX M/M: -0.7% V -0.5%E (3rd consecutive decline; 6-month low)
– (JP) JAPAN OCT DOMESTIC CGPI M/M: -0.7% V -0.2%E; Y/Y: 1.7% V 2.2%E (8-month low)
– (NZ) NEW ZEALAND OCT REINZ HOUSING PRICE INDEX Y/Y: +28.3% V +21.0% PRIOR
– (NZ) NEW ZEALAND OCT FOOD PRICES M/M: -1.3% V -1.0% PRIOR (3rd consecutive decline)
– (NZ) NEW ZEALAND OCT ANZ JOB ADVERTISEMENTS M/M: -2.5% V -3.2% PRIOR
– (JP) JAPAN SEPT LOANS & DISCOUNTS CORP Y/Y: -0.7% V -1.6% PRIOR
– (IN) INDIA SEPT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 1.9% V 3.6%E
– (PE) PERU REFERENCE RATE LEFT UNCHANGED AT 4.25%, AS EXPECTED
– (KS) South Korea 2011 Household debt to asset ratio 17.5% v 16.7% in 2010

***Markets Snapshot (as of 04:45GMT)***

– Nikkei225 +0.6%
– S&P/ASX +1.0%
– Kospi +2.5%
– Taiwan Taiex +0.9%
– Singapore Straits Times Index +0.1%
– Shanghai Composite +0.6%
– Hang Seng +1.1%
– S&P Futures +0.8% at 1,246
– Dec Gold +0.4% at $1,767/oz
– Dec Crude +0.4% at $98.18

***Overview/Top Headlines***

– Asian markets had a modest recovery and the euro held steady around $1.36, +0.1% after Italy was able to hold its debt auction and Greece announced their new PM. Read more…