Forex: Euro Weakness To Accelerate On Increased Skepticism

Euro: Fitch Sees Greek Default, ECB Rate Decision On Tap

The Euro slipped to a low of 1.4133 as Fitch Ratings said a 50% haircut on Greek debt would be considered a ‘default event,’ and the single-currency may continue trade heavy in the week ahead as investor confidence remains frail. Meanwhile, China’s Vice-Finance Minister, Zhu Guangyao, said the government is interested in hearing the details of the new accord, and went onto say that they will wait for more information ‘before making a decision on investment’ following reports that the world’s second-largest economy may contribute EUR 100B to assist the region.

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GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

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  • GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

GBP/USD – Bullish Price Action Expected

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  • 05 October 2011 11:18 AM GMT

By: Doug Rosen

Well, it looks like this pair finally made the double bottom I was expecting at 1.5350 area then spiked back up and touched the daily 5 ema. At this point I will watch this pair very carefully to see what happens next. Will it fall back down and touch the 1.5350 yet again then go back up or will it break the 1.5350 level and keep on falling or will it just reverse fib from where it is now and keep on going?

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European Central Banks (BoE & ECB) Take Different Paths

Global capital markets focused on issues related to Europe for the balance of the week, as better than expected economic data out of the US during the weak help lift riskier assets.  Markets seem to  price in in-line employment data after absorbing important monetary policy changes from the Bank of England.  The disappointment over no-change to the ECB policy, took some wind out of the sales of European bourses.  The Euro seemed to perform well despite a downgrade to Italian debt during mid week.

The Bank of England, decided not to wait for the quarterly inflation report but announce GBP75 billion additional bond purchases over the next four months.  Although many recognized it was possible, only less than half the economists surveyed expected the asset purchases to be announced.  Additionally, recent data, which included stronger than expected manufacturing and service PMIs seemed to discourage the undecided.     The central bank announced that it will buy GBP25 billion of gilts across a range of maturities in three weekly auctions.

The ECB kept its main interest rate at 1.5% for a third straight month, after raising it in increments in April and July. Although

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Another EURUSD-USDCHF Correlation Strategy

EURUSD-USDCHF CORRELATION TECHNIQUE NUMBER 2

“The market trading environment is unemotional and unforgiving for the novice trader. Professional traders indulge themselves every time a market turning point occurs. They know when a novice trader is making a mistake, because they’re on the wrong side at every turning point. The result for novice traders is a washed account, because they’re constantly losing money at these critical trading areas.” – Brandon Tristan

Hello:

This article features another useful EURUSD-USDCHF correlation technique, following the one I revealed some time ago. Its logic

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Weekly Trading Update – 17-21 October 2011

I didnt place any forex trades at all this week and it was simply because I was too distracted by the share price movements of Tomco Energy, which is now up over 50% this week (and was up 100% at one stage).

I mainly invest in FTSE 100 stocks these days, but this is the one AIM stock that I hold in my share portfolio and its finally burst into life. I have several million shares in this oil shale company and a few spread betting positions as well.

Im holding out for at least 10p in the long run, and hopefully a lot more, but in the meantime I have been banking some massive profits from two of my spread betting positions (and I have since opened one more long position), which is why I couldnt be bothered to trade forex this week.

In fact I havent even looked at a forex chart at all this week until a few minutes ago.

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